Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.006514e-01 0.239036 0.280186 0.327308 0.379503 0.435287 0.499152
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.495748e-01 0.200888 0.260090 0.332332 0.417017 0.512114 0.625937
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.073948e-01 0.163679 0.233632 0.324307 0.436150 0.567175 0.729836
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.114009e-02 0.140241 0.219104 0.327025 0.466050 0.634668 0.850145
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.876058e-02 0.116776 0.200267 0.320892 0.482872 0.685709 0.951716
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.027152e-02 0.094125 0.178382 0.307169 0.487376 0.720052 1.032646
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.104852e-02 0.083792 0.172340 0.313882 0.518255 0.788176 1.157198
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.158614e-02 0.069912 0.158224 0.306747 0.528680 0.828937 1.246981
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.770931e-02 0.065861 0.159384 0.322219 0.571101 0.913086 1.394758
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.280576e-02 0.057552 0.151611 0.322543 0.590979 0.966623 1.502833
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.168141e-03 0.050589 0.144939 0.323601 0.611353 1.020786 1.612308
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.038111e-03 0.046743 0.143540 0.333020 0.644291 1.092903 1.746993
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.375655e-03 0.043546 0.143177 0.344528 0.681506 1.172962 1.895564
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.015603e-03 0.040470 0.142517 0.355317 0.717869 1.252594 2.045031
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.372533e-03 0.034324 0.133668 0.350296 0.728612 1.295204 2.143839
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.522944e-03 0.030874 0.130422 0.355234 0.755319 1.361440 2.276472
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.545684e-04 0.026007 0.122369 0.349999 0.764758 1.402047 2.373415
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.413082e-04 0.020468 0.110726 0.336184 0.758761 1.418951 2.436522
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.108695e-04 0.018719 0.109629 0.343776 0.789295 1.491418 2.579910
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.564644e-05 0.015239 0.101915 0.336462 0.793425 1.523375 2.665126
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.599926e-06 0.014993 0.105097 0.353094 0.840121 1.621596 2.847539
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.988968e-09 0.012956 0.101210 0.353544 0.857860 1.675058 2.965257
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011232 0.097831 0.354734 0.876773 1.730478 3.086325